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May 02, 2011


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Paul, you will probably be interested in this Crag Murray blog.

He claims the internal FCO line has now changed to no substantive British withdrawal from Afghanistan until 2015 (year after Karzai term in office ends) at the earliest. They think Karzai will flee or lose if NATO withdraws, and "the real thinking is that if Karzai falls from power after our withdrawal, we will be seen to have “Lost” the war, while the overriding aim in Whitehall and in Washington is to get out in circumstances in which we can claim victory." I assume this means the FCO thinks the US won't withdraw next year.


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