Tomorrow's vote on the third runway has provoked worry that has grown into full blown panic.
MPs who are absent abroad are being called back. The vote coincides with a plenary session of the Council of Europe in Strasbourg involving about 30 MPs of all parties.
On a previous occasion involving 42 days about 15 MPs returned from Strasbourg. Roughly half were for and half against. Their votes cancelled each other out and their journeys costing a total of about £17,000 were largely futile. Allowing pairings will avoid the ridiculous situation of MPs taking an unnecessary flight in the sacred cause of saving the planet from the consequences of unnecessary flights. Sensibly pairings have been allowed this time.
But the whips cannot resist returning to their bad old ways. On the Iraq vote they called all war supporters back and ignored the opponents of war. This week in Strasbourg,
it was made clear that expenses for the return journey to London would be paid only to those MPs who can produce a letter from their whips calling them back. By an amazing coincidence only those known to support the third runway, or are willing to do deals, have been pressurised to return.
I have made clear my own view. Opposition debates are usually contests of political machismo without serious purpose. MPs vote for their own party's case regardless of the merits of the case. There are only debates- and nothing is ever decided. This vote is different. The environment is of supreme importance. The Government has got it wrong and I will vote with the opposition. That means that no whip has called me back to vote.
Booking a flight at very short notice will cost about £900. This is a formidable disincentive which might dissuade dissenters from returning. Last time, the whips did not live up to their threats. They relented and all those who incurred extra expense were reimbursed. I do not think the implied threat can be enforced now.
It would be an outrage if it was. Many scandals, real and imaginary, are swirling around. The last thing the Government needs is new 'Fares for votes' scandal. The whips will collapse into a sad repentant heap when they are confronted with the results of their own maladroit tactics.
Reform boost
The Sunday Times has again served the nation by revealing the ugly under belly of lobbying.
They found Tory MPs who took cash for questions. Although no proof has been found of wrong doing by the four Labour Lords, their report has angered and embarrassed the majority of their Lordships. Reform is now certain.
Th Guardian's George Monbiot this morning praised the timely demand from the group for Alliance Lobbying Transparency. Their views greatly influenced PASC's called for a mandatory registration of all lobbyists and publications of their diaries.
The Lobbyists howled in rage at PASC's report. Proof enough that we had hit the spot. This murky business seeks privileges for their well-heeled clients by devious means.
Transparency will clean up the the lobbying stables.
Investment
BBC Wales creditably hosted an hour long phone-in on the steel Industry.
Irritatingly, the interviewer repeated the expression 'bailing-out' instead the 'investment' that is being sought. There was a good crop of very reasonable contributions from listeners.
The afternoon's announcements of a fiscal stimulus to the car industry will stimulate steel production. In the UK, the steel industry is lean and efficient. The crisis was caused by greedy and incompetent banks which led to the collapse of demand for steel from the motoring and construction industries.
Newport steelworkers are rightly asking for aid to put them on an equal footing with Dutch steelworkers. Peter Mandelson was told yesterday of the need for measures to ensure that the plant and staff are prepared to re-start production as soon as the recession ends.
This is the best practical step that government can take. They are being pressed to give the Welslh workers a similar package to the Dutch one. Help to cut the energy tariff will also help.
Kay Tie
"I am not being unreasonable when I question their motives."
I agree in that you are not unreasonable to question the motives here at all. The problem is that if we all waste time deciding which politician or scientist is being corrupted and by whom or in your case waiting for tax reductions it could well be too late.
According to Lovelock we don't have long.
At present the best we can do is rise above petty, tribal politics and work together.
We will hopefully follow Obama and reach our CO2 targets. If at the end of the day things work out then it was a small sacrifice.The other option as of the HOC last night we continue business as usual into extinction.
Posted by: patrick | January 29, 2009 at 05:38 PM
"Unpicking one part of the tapestry of evidence does not make the opposite view true."
I'm not arguing against the science. I'm pointing out that there are many scientists being corrupted by the politics and that the claimed science is consequently tainted. It may or may not be true, but it has to be treated sceptically and not taken at face value.
If James Hansen was a proper scientist, he'd have no problems in putting all his raw data on the web for everyone else to review. That he refuses to do so is unscientific and deeply suspicious.
That people without a scientific background weigh in to support people like Hansen shows that this is not science: it's politics. A particularly dirty form of politics where science is used as cover for extreme political views. It's no surprise that the Left are vociferous in warning of the dangers of AGW and yet spurn the most effective CO2 reduction mechanism so far: cap-and-trade. If CO2 reductions were the primary goal then pragmatism ought to trump politics. It clearly doesn't.
There are countless examples in history where scientific orthodoxy is preserved because of ulterior motives, and that those who gainsay the orthodoxy are "heretics". Look what the scientific community (and the Government at the time) did to Professor Richard Lacey over Mad Cow disease. Look at Warren and Marshall's work on peptic ulcers and H. Pylori. If you think that AGW science is "settled" then you're deluding yourself.
I think it's fine to proceed on a basis of reducing CO2 emissions through a CO2 levy. Provided that other taxes are reduced it won't damage the economy (or, at least, no more than it damages the economy to tax jobs or trade as we do now). You don't need the science to be settled in order to follow the Stern Report's recommendations. The fact that politicians are still yammering away about AGW means they don't accept Stern's straightforward solutions and want to take for themselves the powers of a Roman Republic dictator. I am not being unreasonable when I question their motives.
Posted by: Kay Tie | January 29, 2009 at 02:44 PM
Ah but Kay Tie, see we just don't believe you.
Because if you were a scientist, you would be aware, that in a similar way to evolution, Global Warming has been discovered, documented and ample evidence provided by many scientists working both independently and within organisations, working in many and varied, even often apparently unrelated fields who have rather to their alarm in many cases found that their varied researches have all led to the same place.
You would also understand that one scientist arguing with another scientist in one part of one area of research about quite how to interpret one dataset does not undermine or discredit all the work in all those varied fields by all those other unrelated scientists.
Your argument has all the sense and credibility of a creationist attempting to argue against evolution.
Unpicking one part of the tapestry of evidence does not make the opposite view true.
Posted by: Huw | January 29, 2009 at 12:41 PM
Professor Tie
I have just had a look through an Oxford dictionary but i cannot find the word in your above text of "refusig".
Posted by: patrick | January 29, 2009 at 08:11 AM
Yes, Huw, I am a scientist. I suggest that you go and read the dictionary definition of science. It doesn't include tampering with data and refusi g to publish workings. That's more properly called "politics". And yes, you get politics in scientific institutions, as you'd know if you were ever a professor in a university science department.
Posted by: Kay Tie | January 29, 2009 at 12:14 AM
Hopefully somebody from the IPCC will have read Kates link. After all this GW stuff was only ever a Worldwide conspiracy to try to make her buy a solar panel.
No doubt this will now be the end of the matter.
Posted by: patrick | January 28, 2009 at 10:45 PM
If we're going to support any industry, we need to ensure that it has a good chance of export earnings. Over-consumption coupled with under-production is the root cause of the current state of the UK. Equally, we need to start rationalising the banks. Bradford & Bingley, Northern Rock, RBS and Lloyds-HBOS could easily be merged into a single bank and colossal savings made.
Posted by: valleylad | January 28, 2009 at 10:29 PM
I frankly am very uneasy about.... call it what you will.... the car industry. Virtually every company is now owned by foreign companies. Surely it stands to reason that IF and it's a big if - assistance needs to be given it should be given to people who will BUY what the companies MAKE?. What's the point of churning out yet more cars that nobody can afford to buy, or perhaps even want.
I suspect Mandy has his own good reasons for so doing, however.
Posted by: GrahamMarlow | January 28, 2009 at 07:29 PM
So, now you are a scientist KayTie, is there no beginning to your talents.
The IPCC, the Royal Society and the Met Office all agree (amongst many other bodies)
that the global average temperature increase is due to rising concentrations of CO2, and that the primary source for this is burning of fossil fuels - oil, gas, coal.
Posted by: Huw | January 28, 2009 at 07:11 PM
The best way to "Get real on climate change" would be to do proper science, not political pseudo-science:
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2009/01/28/nasa_climate_theon/
Posted by: Kay Tie | January 28, 2009 at 05:07 PM
Patrick, 'bailing-out implies that the industry is in trouble because of its own inefficiencies. This is not the case with the UK car, steel and aluminium industries. In normal times, they are highly efficient.
The Credit crunch has frozen the sales of cars which collapses the production of metals. A fatal mistake now would be to inflict the permanent damage of closure because of the temporary damage of a crisis. Investment will prevent that.
Government does a great deal to assist small and medium businesses. There have been an increases in the numbers going to the wall but there has also been an increase in the numbers of new small companies being set up in recent years.
Posted by: Paul Flynn | January 28, 2009 at 11:45 AM
Paul
Could you explain in laymans terms the difference between investment,subsidy, and bailing out?
They each involve throwing taxpayers money at a failing venture.Surely we need regulation to set up a level playing field for all business and industry?
Just for one example I don't recall seeing a dewy-eyed politician on TV when Thousands of corner shops went to the wall.Now we have Mandy giving away Billions to the car industry who themselves say the money is useless unless the punters can get credit.
So people that can't afford new cars will again be giving taxpayers money from banks to buy them from a failed industry again propped up by taxpayers.
Doesn't need a genius to realise who the main losers will be here, try picking a random local service.
It will be interesting to look at Mandy's accounts, where his new cars come from and who's bunged him his holiday homes.
Posted by: patrick | January 28, 2009 at 08:51 AM
Patrick as I understand it, Peers do not get paid but they do get expenses. In the case of Taylor these seem to be somewhat excessive:
http://www.thisislondon.co.uk/standard/article-23629554-details/Sleaze+row+peer+claims+400%2C000+just+in+expenses/article.do
Where Clive Soley is concerned, he is behaving exactly as you would expect him to behave: for a man who was elevated soley (forgive the pun)for licking the boots of the former Prime Minister Blair, and who was a nondescript backbencher, as part of Heathrow First he can continue to lick the boots of his masters. He truly is the sycophants sycophant.
I am sorry that Labour, or rather, NEW Labour, which is a different and inferior brand altogether has a death wish: they don't listen to (in this case) the people of London, it is obvious that Mandy doesn't listen to anybody, since he is intent on "part privatising" the Post Office, which, nobody except any possible business beneficiary of such a scheme, supports and Iraq is coming back to haunt them again. If Labour seriously want even a remote chance of winning the next election, it is essential that anybody who has caused embarrasment through questionable behaviour is stripped of office or peerage.
Posted by: Graham Marlowe | January 28, 2009 at 04:24 AM
you are right Patrick. The planet will continue. It's convenient shorthand. I did not hear Clive Soley but I believe he was unwise to revael his motives. He irritates the hell out of me on London television. More on the vote tomorrow.
Posted by: Paul Flynn | January 27, 2009 at 11:11 PM
You repeatedly mention 'save the planet' when we all know the planet is not in any danger. Danger only threatens the dumb species running it.
Listening to Mr Clive Soley on the radio today confirmed this dumbness. He failed to see a problem with any Lord selling their service. He thinks that part of his job is to except £27,000 a year to further the Third runway. Surely the job (that they get paid for) of such unelected cretins (whilst their awake) is to vote on respective bills using their intelligence and life experience. It's blatantly obvious that they lobby and vote on who gives them the biggest bung.
The disgracefully biased behaviour of the Commons whips shows that corruption is rife here also.
Brown is crazy to go ahead with the Third runway.
Posted by: patrick | January 27, 2009 at 09:48 PM