In late March 2003, I wrote to Tony Blair PM about Iraq:
Our involvement in Bush’s war will increase the likelihood of terrorist attacks. Attacking a Muslim state without achieving a fair settlement of the Palestine–Israeli situation is an affront to Muslims, from our local mosques to the far-flung corners of the world. A pre-emptive attack of the kind we have made on Iraq will only deepen the sense of grievance among Muslims that the Western/Christian/Jewish world is out to oppress them.
This will provide a propaganda victory to Osama Bin Laden and can only increase his support and the likelihood of more acts of terrorism.